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If the Traffic Light coalition is confirmed, the Foreign Ministry is expected to go to the Greens, so it will be their party positions on foreign policy that will provide direction, albeit moderated by their two coalition partners. The German Chancellery has been centralizing powers for years, leaving the Foreign Ministry less important than the last time the SPD was in power (1998-2005).Д«ut the pressure will be on whoever leads the Foreign Ministry to work better with the US and with colleagues in Europe instead of MerkelвЂ™s special relationships with China and Russia. Her style of borrowing policies from other parties was the classic approach of Merkelism, but a coherent vision for the centre-right has all but disappeared. Over the last 16 years, Angela Merkel has hollowed out German politics ideologically. Much of MerkelвЂ™s success was built on capturing the centre, to the annoyance of many on the right who saw in this shift the reason for the success of the radical right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party. There has been a problem in German politics caused by the lack of a credible alternative to an Angela Merkel-led government. On 7 October 2021 Laschet announced that he is prepared to resign.

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It was therefore strange, if not altogether tone-deaf for Laschet to declare during the so-called Elefantenrunde TV debate on election night that he had secured a mandate to form a governing coalition. He obtained the worst result in the history of the CDU/CSU (a drop of almost nine percent) and has consistently been behind Scholz (as much as 15% in the poll just before the elections) on who would be a better Chancellor. If the coalition talks succeed Baerbock will probably become Foreign Minister and Lindner Finance Minister. But rumours have surfaced that co-leader Robert Habeck may in fact become the candidate of choice for the post.ДЄ Civey poll for Der Spiegel found that 69% of respondents believed Habeck should become vice chancellor in a potential SPD-Greens-FDP coalition, while just 15% percent said it should be Baerbock. There was a real chance that Annalena Baerbock would become GermanyвЂ™s next Vice Chancellor.

The FDP worry higher taxes might further damage GermanyвЂ™s image as a place for investment and fear the introduction of a wealth tax and a property tax supported by their potential coalition partners the SPD and Greens.

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They lean different ways on economic solutions to social problems and are far apart on how to go forward on the biggest issue in this election campaign: the climate crisis. The FDP and the Greens have a similar voter base: affluent, urban, and well-educated, but the parties belong to rival ideological camps. The first phase of talks on forming a new German government are moving forward slowly the smaller parties started right after the election result with the SPD and CDU starting to engage a week later. He noted that the SPD, Greens and FDP all gained votes in the election, which he said was вЂa message to these three to get it done now and to form a government together.вЂ™ He added: вЂIвЂ™m optimistic that a traffic light coalition can succeed.вЂ™ And they want me to be the next chancellor.вЂ™ In a post-election interview with Der Spiegel, Scholz stressed his claim to succeed Merkel, suggesting the election result and polls made clear which parties should be in government and who should lead them: вЂthe citizens have elected a new government вЂ¦ they have made the SPD the strongest party. ScholzвЂ™s campaign impressed voters, while the Laschet and Baerbock campaigns were drab in comparison. This was reflected in the partiesвЂ™ approvals, which were changing rapidly over the summer. The race for Chancellor was a personality contest, with the party contest taking a back seat. The long-standing dominance of the two main blocs вЂ“ the CDU/CSU and SPD вЂ“ has broken down: in 1998 they took 76% of votes between them compared to not quite 50% this year. German politics has become more fragmented over the last 20 years.

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This is almost two percentage points more than Armin Laschet, head of the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU, or Union parties) (24.1%), more than ten percentage points ahead of Annalena Baerbock, the candidate of the Greens (14.8%), and more than 14 points ahead of Christian Lindner, the leader of the liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP) (11.5%). The winner of the election, with the strongest mandate to build a new government, is Olaf Scholz, the leader of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), who won 25.7% of the votes. After 16 years under Angela MerkelвЂ™s leadership, the new German government will face an uphill struggle to lift the country out of reform inertia.